产业结构理论(产业结构理论的思想渊源)

 

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根据之前小编的复刻论文和小论文小编总结出来的关键词有：

可信度、基本不确定区间犹豫模糊、广义TODIM、应急群决策、多属性决策；犹豫毕达哥拉斯模糊、TODIM、灰色关联理论

接下来让我们挨个来进行介绍：

According to the previous editors re-engraved papers and small papers, the keywords summarized by the editor are:

Reliability, basic uncertainty interval hesitant fuzzy, generalized TODIM, emergency group decision-making, multi-attribute decision-making; hesitant Pythagorean fuzzy, TODIM, grey relational theory

Next, let us introduce them one by one:

可信度（1）简单来说就是可以依赖的程度，即根据经验对一个事物或一件事情为真的相信程度（2）可信度与很多东西有关，通常信息传达者的工作履历与当时状况的联系在很大程度上影响着信息力度。领袖者常用分析威胁或潜在威胁，使实现远期目标必然要冒风险和付出牺牲看起来合情合理，这时信息内容的合理性至关重要。就值得信赖而言，信息传达者的声誉和群体关系也很重要，当然检验领导者是否诚实的最重要特征就是言行一致。credibility(1) Simply put, it is the degree of reliance, that is, the degree of belief that a thing or a thing is true based on experience(2) Credibility is related to many things. Usually, the relationship between the work history of the information communicator and the situation at that time greatly affects the strength of the information. Leaders often analyze threats or potential threats to make it seem plausible that the risks and sacrifices necessary to achieve long-term goals are justifiable. In terms of trustworthiness, the reputation and group relationships of the messenger are also important, although of course the most important characteristic of a leaders honesty is consistency of words and deeds.基本不确定区间犹豫模糊基本不确定区间犹豫模糊集(Basic Uncertain Information Interval-valued Hesitant Fuzzy Set，简称BUIVHFS)的概念，是决策者在利用区间犹豫模糊集进行表达观点的同时，用确定度来衡量决策者提供信息的可靠程度及确定程度，尽可能保证信息的准确性和完整性，从而提高决策结果的科学性。Basic uncertainty interval hesitation blurThe basic uncertainty interval hesitant fuzzy set (Basic Uncertain Information Interval-valued Hesitant Fuzzy Set, abbreviated as BUIVHFS) concept is that decision makers use the interval hesitant fuzzy set to express their opinions, and at the same time use the certainty to measure the reliability of the information provided by the decision makers. To ensure the accuracy and completeness of information as much as possible, so as to improve the scientificity of decision-making results.广义TODIMGeneralized TODIM

4.应急群决策

突发事件发生时，如何及时、有效地选择一个最优的决策方案，降低其影响，成为相关学者近年来研究的重难点。瞬息万变、错综复杂的应急决策环境通常要求决策者快速作出决策，仅仅依靠一个决策者容易造成决策角度单一、决策结果过于片面的问题，因此，在决策过程中需要多个决策者共同参与，避免由于单个决策者的认知水平、偏好差异等造成的决策失误，实现最大程度地降低决策风险。由于突发事件的随机性、紧迫性和不确定性，决策者能够获得的决策信息是模糊的、不完整的，因此存在预判困难、精准分析等问题。

Emergency group decision-making

经过发展，EVA管理越来越受到企业界的关注与青睐。

When emergencies occur, how to select an optimal decision-making scheme in a timely and effective manner and reduce its impact has become a major and difficult research topic for relevant scholars in recent years. The ever-changing and complex emergency decision-making environment usually requires decision-makers to make decisions quickly. Relying on only one decision-maker can easily lead to problems of single decision-making angle and too one-sided decision-making results. Therefore, in the decision-making process, multiple decision-makers are required to participate together. Decision-making errors caused by decision-makers cognitive level and preference differences can minimize decision-making risks. Due to the randomness, urgency and uncertainty of emergencies, the decision-making information that decision makers can obtain is vague and incomplete, so there are problems such as difficulty in predicting and accurate analysis.

5.多属性决策

多属性决策也称有限方案多目标决策，是指在考虑多个属性的情况下，选择最优备选方案或进行方案排序的决策问题，它是现代决策科学的一个重要组成部分。它的理论和方法在工程、技术、经济、管理和军事等诸多领域中都有广泛的应用。

Multi-attribute decision making

Multi-attribute decision-making, also known as finite-scheme multi-objective decision-making, refers to the decision-making problem of choosing the optimal alternative or sorting the scheme under the condition of considering multiple attributes. It is an important part of modern decision science. Its theories and methods are widely used in many fields such as engineering, technology, economics, management and military.

平均固定成本是总固定成本除以产量。平均产品是总产量除以投入品的数量。平均可变成本是总可变成本除以产量。

6.犹豫毕达哥拉斯模糊

毕达哥拉斯模糊集是对直觉模糊集的推广，其元素由隶属度和非隶属度两部分组成，且满足隶属度和非隶属度平方和小于等于1。作为毕达哥拉斯模糊集的推广，犹豫毕达哥拉斯模糊集中每个元素的隶属度和非隶属度可能包含多个值，这样可以兼顾决策者的不同偏好。

Hesitant Pythagorean Blur

Pythagorean fuzzy set is a generalization of intuitionistic fuzzy set. Its elements are composed of membership degree and non-membership degree, and the sum of squares of membership degree and non-membership degree is less than or equal to 1. As a generalization of the Pythagorean fuzzy set, the membership and non-membership degrees of each element in the hesitant Pythagorean fuzzy set may contain multiple values, which can take into account the different preferences of decision makers.

7.TODIM

交互式多属性决策(TODIM)方法是基于前景理论提出的一种交互式多准则决策方法，其特点是考虑了决策者的心理行为特征，比基于效用理论提出的决策方法更符合实际。其思路如下:首先，计算每个方案或准则的损益值，然后通过方案间的两两比较构建优势度函数;在此基础上，计算每个方案相对于所有方案的总体优势度，并依据总体优势度的大小对其进行排序。与前景理论不同，TODIM方法涉及的参数较少，计算更简便，且不用事先确定参照点。

TODIM

The interactive multi-attribute decision-making (TODIM) method is an interactive multi-criteria decision-making method based on prospect theory. The idea is as follows: first, calculate the profit and loss value of each scheme or criterion, and then construct the dominance function through the pairwise comparison between the schemes; Sort them by the size of their dominance. Unlike prospect theory, the TODIM method involves fewer parameters, is simpler to calculate, and does not need to determine a reference point in advance.

8.灰色关联理论

灰色关联理论最早由邓聚龙教授于1982年在The Control Problems of Grey Systems一文中提出，主要应用于经济管理、环境科学等领域的研究。经济社会的各种现象都存在结构的复杂性、作用机理的互相影响等特点，研究所收集的数据资料又往往存在连贯性的缺失可能，通过比较序列和参考序列的关联程度判断可以分析对象究竟受哪些因素的影响更大。如果两者之间的变化趋势大致相同，则说明两者之间关联度高或关联度大；反之，两者关联度就弱或小。

Grey Relevance Theory

Grey relational theory was first proposed by Professor Deng Julong in The Control Problems of Grey Systems in 1982, and it is mainly used in the research of economic management, environmental science and other fields. Various economic and social phenomena are characterized by the complexity of the structure and the mutual influence of the mechanism of action. The data collected by the research often have the possibility of lack of coherence. By comparing the degree of correlation between the sequence and the reference sequence, it is possible to analyze the object. Which factors are more affected. If the change trend between the two is roughly the same, it means that the correlation between the two is high or large; otherwise, the correlation between the two is weak or small.

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参考资料：百度、谷歌翻译。

参考文献：

[1]朱远芳,汪新凡,周浪.基于TODIM和PROMETHEE Ⅱ的概率不确定语言双边匹配决策方法[J].湖南工业大学学报,2022,36(03):84-94.

[2]何芳.基于灰色关联理论的济源产业结构调整实证分析[J].安阳工学院学报,2022,21(03):50-53.DOI:10.19329/j.cnki.1673-2928.2022.03.014.

[3]梁薇,王应明.基于可信度的基本不确定区间犹豫模糊广义TODIM应急群决策方法[J/OL].控制与决策:1-10[2022-09-11].DOI:10.13195/j.kzyjc.2021.1970.

[4]杨威,刘春欣.基于DEMATEL和VIKOR的犹豫毕达哥拉斯模糊多属性决策方法[J].工程数学学报,2021,38(06):797-808.

[5]周延年,徐彤,胡滨.属性相关条件下广义q-ROF TODIM决策方法[J].西北工业大学学报,2020,38(05):1068-1073

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